GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

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7 markets tracked

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	21%
Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	13%
Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	12%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	9%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	4%
Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	3%
Will Trump endorse at least 50 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	2%

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21%

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About This Event

Jul 5, 2026 to Jul 11, 2026 If Donald Trump endorses at least X people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. X person cannot be counted mor

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jul 5, 2026 to Jul 11, 2026

If Donald Trump endorses at least X people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. X person cannot be counted mor

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump endorses at least 50 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an electio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump endorse at least 50 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

Volume$0.00

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

If Donald Trump endorses at least 3 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election

KALSHI

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

If Donald Trump endorses at least 5 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election

KALSHI

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

If Donald Trump endorses at least 10 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an electio

KALSHI

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an electio

KALSHI

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

If Donald Trump endorses at least 20 people for their election on Truth Social from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an electio

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/laauiq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)"></iframe>

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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

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Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

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Events (1)

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

Markets (7)

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

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Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 3 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 5 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?

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