Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Total Volume

$34.82K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Vol

$34.82K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $34.82K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.82K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?	Kalshi	99%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?	Kalshi	99%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?	Kalshi	99%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.6?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.5?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.4?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.3?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.2?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.1?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.2?	Kalshi	98%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.3?	Kalshi	97%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.4?	Kalshi	89%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.5?	Kalshi	84%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.6?	Kalshi	68%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.8?	Kalshi	54%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.7?	Kalshi	54%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.9?	Kalshi	30%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.0?	Kalshi	15%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.1?	Kalshi	10%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.2?	Kalshi	5%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.4?	Kalshi	3%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.3?	Kalshi	3%
Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.5?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$34.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SEHC, not the month-over-month or year-over-year percent change. Only the first applicable official release for September 2026 will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SEHC, not the month-over-month or year-over-year percent change. Only the first applicable official release for September 2026 will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 445.5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $902
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $950
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $682
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 445.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.9?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.7?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.6?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.4?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.2?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.1?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Volume$34.82K

Markets25

25 of 25

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KALSHI

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 444.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE

KALSHI

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 443.8, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE

KALSHI

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 443.7, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE

KALSHI

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 444.1, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE

KALSHI

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent of residences, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, for September 2026 is above 443.9, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the index level reported by BLS for series CUUR0000SE

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lmkcU5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026"></iframe>

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Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

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Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

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Events (1)

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Markets (25)

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

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Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.0?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.8?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.7?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 444.1?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

Will CPI-U for Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026 be above 443.9?

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