Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Clarence mayoral election winner?

Total Volume

$7.10K

Events

Markets

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Clarence mayoral election winner?

Vol

$7.10K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.10K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.10K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?	Kalshi	65%
Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?	Kalshi	19%
Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?	Kalshi	6%
Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$7.10K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 27, 2026 If X wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Clarence mayoral election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 27, 2026

If X wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Dean Young wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Clarence mayoral election winner?

Volume$7.10K

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

If Brendan Blomeley wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

If Tony Mulder wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

If Drew Jenner wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

If Dean Young wins the 2026 Clarence mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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24¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/loHcXs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Clarence mayoral election winner?"></iframe>

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Clarence mayoral election winner?

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Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Clarence mayoral election winner?

Markets (4)

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Clarence mayoral election winner?

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Drew Jenner win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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