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Event GroupKALSHIElections

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

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New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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4 markets tracked

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?	Kalshi	64%
Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?	Kalshi	20%
Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?	Kalshi	13%
Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

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64%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before Nov 2026 If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Republican party, New Hampshire Senate winner: X party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: New Hampshire Governor winner, GOVPARTY, New Ham

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 2026

If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Republican party, New Hampshire Senate winner: X party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: New Hampshire Governor winner, GOVPARTY, New Ham

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Republican party, New Hampshire Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

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KALSHI

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Republican party, New Hampshire Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component

KALSHI

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Democratic party, New Hampshire Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component

KALSHI

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Republican party, New Hampshire Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component

KALSHI

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

If ALL of the following occur: New Hampshire Governor winner: Democratic party, New Hampshire Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component

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Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

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Events (1)

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Markets (4)

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Democratic party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Republican party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Will New Hampshire Governor winner be Democratic party and New Hampshire Senate winner be Republican party?

Related News & Context

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