Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

Name: Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?
End: 2026-07-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.89K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?	Poly	95%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$7.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AAVE V4 goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be AAVE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2026 (77 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if AAVE V4 goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be AAVE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.37)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

76d 3h remaining

Jul 01, 2026 4:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

95¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)