Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

Reported volume

PM $667.1

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

Vol

PM $667.1

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Rodri at 62.5%.

Polymarket

Rodri62.5%
Vinícius Júnior33.5%
Vitinha33.5%
Bruno Fernandes33.5%
Luis Diaz33.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

30 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	62.5%
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.5%
Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	33.0%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	32.0%
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	28.0%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	28.0%
Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	28.0%
Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	28.0%
Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	28.0%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	19.5%
Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	18.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	18.0%
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	18.0%
Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	18.0%
Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	16.5%
Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	16.5%
Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	12.0%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	11.5%
Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	9.5%
Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8.5%
Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8.5%
Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8.0%
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Poly	8.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $667.1

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $667.1
Coverage: 30 of 30 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990493; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-harry-kane-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990494; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990495; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-kylian-mbappe-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990496; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rodri-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $667.1
Outcome Yes: 62.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 37.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990497; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-khvicha-kvaratskhelia-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990498; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990499; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fabian-ruiz-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990500; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ousmane-dembele-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990501; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pau-cubarsi-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990502; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-erling-haaland-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990503; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jude-bellingham-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990504; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-olise-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990506; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vinicius-junior-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990508; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-declan-rice-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990510; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-vitinha-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990512; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-achraf-hakimi-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990514; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bruno-fernandes-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990516; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-diaz-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990518; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lautaro-martinez-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990520; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marc-cucurella-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990522; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gabriel-magalhaes-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990524; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sadio-mane-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990526; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marquinhos-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990528; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nuno-mendes-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990530; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-joao-neves-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990532; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-willian-pacho-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990534; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-julian-quinones-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990536; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-william-saliba-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990538; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ferran-torres-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5990540; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dayot-upamecano-finish-4th-in-the-2026-ballon-d-or-20261019193417541
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 4th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If two or more players are tied for 4th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.

If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

Volume$667.10

Markets30

30 of 30

Sort:

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes: 62.5¢
No: 37.5¢

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes: 33.5¢
No: 66.5¢

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes: 33.5¢
No: 66.5¢

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes: 33.5¢
No: 66.5¢

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

polymarket

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes: 33.5¢
No: 66.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 74.5%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.6%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99%Rules differK Yes 74.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

106 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers

PM $610.5K · K 49.4K contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Lamine Yamal: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 90.3%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Kylian Mbappé: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

19 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

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Jan 01, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

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