GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsElections

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Name: 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1229.97M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Vol

$1229.97M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1229.97M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.7%avg

max 2.6%

Arbitrage

of 35 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $1229.97M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

55 markets tracked

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(35)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	19%	20%	0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?ARB	14%	17%	2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12%	14%	2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7%	7%	0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5%	5%	0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5%	5%	0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?ARB	2%	5%	3%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2%	4%	1%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?ARB	1%	3%	2%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1%	3%	1%

Single-Platform Markets(20)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$1229.97M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2028 If X wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2028

If X wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination. This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1229.97M
* **Total Liquidity:** $71.18M
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 17.28)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (45 mkts) vs Kalshi (45 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $13.90M
  DATA: [Yes: 14.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.8% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 2.3% spread between platforms.

### 2. Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $12.76M
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.4% spread between platforms.

### 3. Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $33.54M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $51.08M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $16.88M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $25.10M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $12.26M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.1% spread between platforms.

### 8. Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $26.41M
  DATA: [Yes: 19.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.8% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $35.37M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $10.82M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $43.29M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $43.40M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $14.92M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 2.1% spread between platforms.

### 14. Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $26.89M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $22.23M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $12.08M
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.5% spread between platforms.

### 17. Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $24.49M
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $9.11M
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $12.54M
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $43.26M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $37.95M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $22.59M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $16.41M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 2.1% spread between platforms.

### 24. Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $25.95M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $11.52M
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $41.47M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $14.27M
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 2.6% spread between platforms.

### 28. Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $31.61M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $31.04M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $21.32M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $42.25M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $16.83M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.4% spread between platforms.

### 33. Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $38.30M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Ro Khanna be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $10.97M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Ruben Gallego be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $8.05M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Mitch Landrieu be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Graham Platner be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Elissa Slotkin be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Jamie Dimon be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $42.14M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $49.84M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $39.49M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $53.93M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $47.84M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $41.92M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $41.54M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $35.40M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $10.02M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $6.96M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Rules

Different

Timing

Similar

KALSHIElections

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Volume$0.00

Markets45

POLYMARKETPolitics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Volume$1229.97M

Markets45

55 of 55

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POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average19.4%

Polymarket

19.3%

Kalshi+0.3%

19.5%

Difference:0.3%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 19.3¢No 80.8¢

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

Arbitrage Opportunity: 2.3% difference

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average15.4%

Polymarket

14.2%

Kalshi+2.3%

16.5%

Difference:2.3% Arbitrage!

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 14.2¢No 85.8¢

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average12.8%

Polymarket

12.0%

Kalshi+1.5%

13.5%

Difference:1.5%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average7.3%

Polymarket+0.1%

7.3%

Kalshi

7.2%

Difference:0.1%

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 7.3¢No 92.7¢

KKalshi

Yes 7.2¢No 92.8¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

If Kamala Harris wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average5.1%

Polymarket

5.1%

Kalshi

5.1%

Difference:0.0%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.1¢No 95.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 5.1¢No 95.0¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

If Pete Buttigieg wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Democratic nominates an individual for the Presidency and they accept that nomination.

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Next Market Closes

844d 11h remaining

Nov 07, 2028 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

Polymarket

3¢

Kalshi

3¢ price gap

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/m0QVA2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2028 Democratic presidential nominee"></iframe>

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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Markets (35)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rules & Resolution

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

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