Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICommodities

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

Total Volume

$230.52

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EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

Vol

$230.52

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $230.52

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $230.52

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	79%
EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	73%
EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	67%
EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	62%
EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	58%
EU beef price at least EUR 671.167772 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	55%
EU beef price at least EUR 677.440368 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	53%
EU beef price at least EUR 683.712964 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	45%
EU beef price at least EUR 689.98556 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	38%
EU beef price at least EUR 696.258156 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	35%
EU beef price at least EUR 702.530752 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	30%
EU beef price at least EUR 708.803348 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	28%
EU beef price at least EUR 715.075944 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	25%
EU beef price at least EUR 721.34854 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	24%
EU beef price at least EUR 727.621136 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	23%
EU beef price at least EUR 733.893732 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	22%
EU beef price at least EUR 740.166328 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	21%
EU beef price at least EUR 746.438924 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	20%
EU beef price at least EUR 752.71152 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	20%
EU beef price at least EUR 758.984116 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	19%
EU beef price at least EUR 765.256712 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	18%
EU beef price at least EUR 771.529308 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	17%
EU beef price at least EUR 777.801904 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	16%
EU beef price at least EUR 784.0745 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	15%
EU beef price at least EUR 815.43748 by Dec 31?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$230.52

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Observation window: Oct 1, 2026 through Dec 31, 2026 If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price, ACZ URO, for beef carcasses in the European Union at least X EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET, inclusive reporting-week End Dates, then the market resolves to Yes. The European Commission's Beef Prices Data Explorer provides the weekly Price in EUR per 100 kg with these filters: Member State: Eu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?
**Category:** Commodities | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Observation window: Oct 1, 2026 through Dec 31, 2026

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price, ACZ URO, for beef carcasses in the European Union at least X EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET, inclusive reporting-week End Dates, then the market resolves to Yes. The European Commission's Beef Prices Data Explorer provides the weekly Price in EUR per 100 kg with these filters: Member State: Eu

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $231
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. EU beef price at least EUR 777.801904 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. EU beef price at least EUR 771.529308 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. EU beef price at least EUR 765.256712 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. EU beef price at least EUR 758.984116 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. EU beef price at least EUR 746.438924 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. EU beef price at least EUR 740.166328 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. EU beef price at least EUR 733.893732 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. EU beef price at least EUR 727.621136 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. EU beef price at least EUR 715.075944 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. EU beef price at least EUR 708.803348 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. EU beef price at least EUR 702.530752 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. EU beef price at least EUR 696.258156 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. EU beef price at least EUR 683.712964 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. EU beef price at least EUR 677.440368 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. EU beef price at least EUR 671.167772 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. EU beef price at least EUR 815.43748 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. EU beef price at least EUR 784.0745 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. EU beef price at least EUR 752.71152 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. EU beef price at least EUR 721.34854 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. EU beef price at least EUR 689.98556 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICommodities

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

Volume$230.52

Markets25

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KALSHI

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢

KALSHIWorld

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 639.804792 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the

KALSHI

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIWorld

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 646.077388 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the

KALSHI

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

KALSHIWorld

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 652.349984 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the

KALSHI

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHIWorld

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 658.62258 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the m

KALSHI

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIWorld

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 664.895176 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the

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EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

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EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

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Events (1)

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

Markets (25)

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

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EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31?

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