Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

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Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

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21 markets tracked

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Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	56%
Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	51%
Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	43%
Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	43%
Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	34%
Michigan wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	32%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	28%
Michigan wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	26%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	24%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	20%
Michigan wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	20%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	19%
Michigan wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	17%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	17%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	16%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Michigan wins 1H by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Michigan wins 1H by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	13%
Penn St. wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	12%
Michigan wins 1H by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

PSU vs MICH (Oct 17) If Penn St. wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** PSU vs MICH (Oct 17)

If Penn St. wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Penn St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Penn St. wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Penn St. wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Penn St. wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Penn St. wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Penn St. wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Penn St. wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Penn St. wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Penn St. wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Penn St. wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Michigan wins 1H by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Michigan wins 1H by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Michigan wins 1H by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Michigan wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Michigan wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Michigan wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Michigan wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets21

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KALSHI

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If Michigan wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

KALSHI

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

If Michigan wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

KALSHI

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

If Michigan wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

KALSHI

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

If Michigan wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

KALSHI

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

If Michigan wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the Penn St. vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

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25¢

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Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

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Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

Markets (21)

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Penn St. vs Michigan: 1st Half Spread

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 6.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 4.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

Michigan wins 1H by over 7.5 points

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