Name: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
End: 2026-04-13T17:00:00.000Z

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $1.89M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.89M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Poly	100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	100%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	48%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	1%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	0%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	0%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	0%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	0%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$1.89M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the schedule

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 13, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the schedule

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.88M
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.49M
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Odd: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $55
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $113
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $55
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Invictus Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $853.0K
  DATA: [Invictus Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 16. LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $438.6K
  DATA: [Invictus Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 17. LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $570.6K
  DATA: [Invictus Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Top Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 18. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Top Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Invictus Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 13, 2026): Vol $113
  DATA: [Yes: 47.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Volume$1.89M

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 3. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Invictus Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 47.9¢No 52.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Invictus Gaming and Top Esports each destroy at least one

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

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Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Markets (23)

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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