AL Hank Aaron Award Winner? | PredictPedia

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41 markets tracked

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

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Single-Platform Markets(41)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	32%
Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	16%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	14%
Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	12%
Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	5%
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	4%
Will Nick Kurtz win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	4%
Will Julio Rodríguez win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	4%
Will Junior Caminero win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	4%
Will Gunnar Henderson win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	4%
Will Zach Neto win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yandy Diaz win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Wyatt Langford win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Trevor Story win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Steven Kwan win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Riley Greene win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Randy Arozarena win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Roman Anthony win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pete Alonso win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mike Trout win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Maikel García win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jacob Wilson win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jeremy Peña win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Josh Naylor win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jackson Holliday win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jarren Duran win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jose Altuve win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jo Adell win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will George Springer win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Daulton Varsho win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Corey Seager win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Colson Montgomery win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Carlos Correa win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Cody Bellinger win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Brent Rooker win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ben Rice win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Byron Buxton win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Adley Rutschman win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%
Will Alejandro Kirk win AL Hank Aaron Award?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AL Hank Aaron Award Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If X wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zach Neto wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zach Neto win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yandy Diaz win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wyatt Langford win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trevor Story win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Steven Kwan win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Riley Greene win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Randy Arozarena win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Roman Anthony win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Pete Alonso win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Nick Kurtz win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Mike Trout win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Maikel García win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jacob Wilson win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Julio Rodríguez win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jeremy Peña win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Josh Naylor win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Jackson Holliday win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jarren Duran win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Junior Caminero win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Jose Altuve win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Jo Adell win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will George Springer win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Gunnar Henderson win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Daulton Varsho win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Corey Seager win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Colson Montgomery win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Carlos Correa win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Cody Bellinger win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Brent Rooker win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Ben Rice win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Byron Buxton win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Adley Rutschman win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Alejandro Kirk win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

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Events (1)

AL Hank Aaron Award Winner?

Markets (41)

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

AL Hank Aaron Award Winner?

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award?

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