Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

Name: Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
End: 2026-10-26T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.76K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

Vol

$9.76K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.76K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.76K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	Poly	60%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Poly	21%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Poly	18%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?	Poly	4%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$9.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 26, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $96.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $982
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $665
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld