GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Name: Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$300.46K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Vol

$300.46K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $300.46K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $300.46K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	18%
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	18%
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	16%
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	15%
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	14%
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	14%
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	14%
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	13%
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	12%
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Poly	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$300.46K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (299 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $300.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $109.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $59.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $29.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $38.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $42.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $48.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $21.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $21.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $18.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech