Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$94.30

Events

Markets

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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Vol

$94.30

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $94.30

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $94.30

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Poly	68%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	49%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$94.30

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source fo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source fo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $94
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Kyle Daukaus: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [Marc-Andre Barriault: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Kyle Daukaus win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Marc-Andre Barriault win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Volume$94.30

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight e

POLYMARKET

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Daukaus defeats Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by

POLYMARKET

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marc-Andre Barriault defeats Kyle Daukaus at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Daukaus and Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." D

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Oct 18, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mRYf_l" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Markets (19)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

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Discussion

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