GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

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NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

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17 markets tracked

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

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Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	84%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	71%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	64%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	60%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	53%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	50%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 32000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	37%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	31%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 34000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	24%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 35000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	17%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 36000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	14%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 37000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	12%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 38000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	11%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 39000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	10%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 40000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	8%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 41000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	7%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 42000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 42000, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 42000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 41000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 40000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 39000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 38000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 37000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 36000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 35000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 34000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 32000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets17

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KALSHI

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26000, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27000, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28000, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 29000, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mUno1V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?"></iframe>

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NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

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Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

Markets (17)

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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