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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Name: Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$43.51K

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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

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Polymarket

markets · $43.51K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $43.51K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Poly	23%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (350 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communication"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $43.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.5K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 12.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $43.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

349d 13h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

23¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mXfiGO" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?"></iframe>

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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

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Events (1)