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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Name: Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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$92.23K

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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Volume DistributionTotal: $92.23K

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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Market	Platform	Price
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional ap

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $92.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $35.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.61)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $92.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/m_Sf1i" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?"></iframe>

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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