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Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Game Spread

Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Game Spread
Vol

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games at 60.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games60.5%
  2. Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games45.5%
  3. Daniil Medvedev -7.5 games28%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev (Oct 26) If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above X games in the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

PM $42.0K
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil MedvedevYes 50.5%
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil MedvedevView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil MedvedevView outcomes
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Exact Match Score

Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Exact Match Score

K 21.76 contracts
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 32%
Will Daniel Merida win the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 22.5%
Will Daniel Merida win the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 22.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner

Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Daniil Medvedev win set 1 in the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev matchYes 48.5%
Will Daniel Merida win set 1 in the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev matchYes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 2 Winner

Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Daniel Merida win set 2 in the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev matchYes 50%
Will Daniil Medvedev win set 2 in the Daniel Merida vs Daniil Medvedev matchYes 45.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Merida vs Medvedev

Merida vs Medvedev

K 14.4K contracts
Daniil Medvedev winsYes 77.5%
Daniel Merida winsYes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
ATP Vienna Winner

ATP Vienna Winner

K 937.81 contracts
ATP Vienna: Carlos Alcaraz winsYes 37.5%
ATP Vienna: Alexander Zverev winsYes 21.5%
ATP Vienna: Adrian Mannarino winsYes 16%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 5, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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