Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Total Volume

$138.56

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Vol

$138.56

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $138.56

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $138.56

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?	Kalshi	48%
Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?	Kalshi	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$138.56

Volume

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About This Event

CLE vs TB (Oct 12) If X has Y outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market. Y is a starting pitcher and recor

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CLE vs TB (Oct 12)

If X has Y outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market. Y is a starting pitcher and recor

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Foster Griffin has 15+ outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $139
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $139
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Volume$138.56

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

If Foster Griffin has 15+ outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Foster Griffin is scratched or is not a starting pitc

KALSHI

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

If Drew Rasmussen has 18+ outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitc

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47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mlB7nw" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded"></iframe>

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

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Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

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Events (1)

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Markets (2)

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

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Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Outs Recorded

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

Foster Griffin: 15+ Outs Recorded?

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

Drew Rasmussen: 18+ Outs Recorded?

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