Name: Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
End: 2026-01-29T22:00:00.000Z

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Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | PredictPedia

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Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Poly	100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)	Poly	24%
Total Rounds Over/Under 51.5	Poly	0%
Total Rounds Over/Under 50.5	Poly	0%
Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)	Poly	0%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	Poly	0%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner	Poly	0%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%
Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5	Poly	0%
Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Natus Vincere and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for January 29 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Gentle Mates.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against Natus Vincere.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this mar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Natus Vincere and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs, scheduled for January 29 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Gentle Mates.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if G"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $186.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.31M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Natus Vincere: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $151.6K
  DATA: [Natus Vincere: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Natus Vincere: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Natus Vincere: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Rounds Over/Under 51.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Over: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Rounds Over/Under 50.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Over: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Over: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Natus Vincere: 24.3% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 75.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Series Natus Vincere Rounds Handicap (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Natus Vincere: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Gentle Mates: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

13¢

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Markets (10)

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5

Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5

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Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

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Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5

Total Rounds Over/Under 52.5

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