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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Name: Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
End: 2027-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$929.43

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Vol

$929.43

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $929.43

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $929.43

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Poly	82%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Poly	73%
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Poly	70%
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$929.43

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2027 (230 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list.

The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list.

The resolution source fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $929
* **Total Liquidity:** $443
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $239
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $292
  DATA: [Yes: 48.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture