Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

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$0.00

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Tie 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	41%
Paranaense wins 1st Half	Kalshi	37%
Chapecoense wins 1st Half	Kalshi	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

CHA vs CAP (Oct 12) If X is the Y of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams sc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CHA vs CAP (Oct 12)

If X is the Y of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams sc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first half"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Chapecoense wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Paranaense wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Tie 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie 1st Half

If Tie is the result of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first half

KALSHI

Paranaense wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Paranaense wins 1st Half

If Paranaense is the winner of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner of the fir

KALSHI

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

If Chapecoense is the winner of the first half in the Chapecoense vs Paranaense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner of the fi

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33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mt6Brv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner"></iframe>

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

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Tie 1st Half

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Events (1)

Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

Markets (3)

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Paranaense wins 1st Half

Paranaense wins 1st Half

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

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Tie 1st Half

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Chapecoense vs Paranaense: First Half Winner

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Paranaense wins 1st Half

Paranaense wins 1st Half

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

Chapecoense wins 1st Half

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