Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

American League Cy Young Finalists

Total Volume

$13.43K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

American League Cy Young Finalists

Vol

$13.43K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.43K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.43K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	98%
Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	96%
Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	38%
Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	29%
Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	9%
Will Sonny Gray be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	6%
Will Bryan Woo be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Trey Yesavage be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Trevor Rogers be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Shane McClanahan be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ranger Suárez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Pablo López be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nathan Eovaldi be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will MacKenzie Gore be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Max Fried be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Logan Gilbert be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Luis Gil be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kyle Bradish be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will José Soriano be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Joe Ryan be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jacob deGrom be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Hunter Brown be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will George Kirby be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Garrett Crochet be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Gerrit Cole be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Cole Ragans be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bryce Miller be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$13.43K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

American League Cy Young (2026) If X is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authori

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** American League Cy Young Finalists
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** American League Cy Young (2026)

If X is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authori

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Trey Yesavage is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trey Yesavage be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trevor Rogers be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shane McClanahan be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sonny Gray be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ranger Suárez be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Pablo López be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nathan Eovaldi be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will MacKenzie Gore be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Max Fried be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Logan Gilbert be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Luis Gil be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Kyle Bradish be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will José Soriano be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Joe Ryan be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jacob deGrom be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Hunter Brown be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $883
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will George Kirby be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Garrett Crochet be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Gerrit Cole be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $368
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Cole Ragans be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Bryan Woo be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Bryce Miller be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

American League Cy Young Finalists

Volume$13.43K

Markets27

27 of 27

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KALSHI

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

If Cam Schlittler is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event

KALSHI

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

If Dylan Cease is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event th

KALSHI

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

If Parker Messick is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event

KALSHI

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

If Drew Rasmussen is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event

KALSHI

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

If Gavin Williams is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for American League Cy Young as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event

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12¢

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American League Cy Young Finalists

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Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

American League Cy Young Finalists

Markets (27)

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

American League Cy Young Finalists

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Cam Schlittler be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Dylan Cease be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Parker Messick be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Drew Rasmussen be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

Will Gavin Williams be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season?

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