Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Name: Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
End: 2026-10-13T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$455.71

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Vol

$455.71

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $455.71

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $455.71

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	43%
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner	Poly	31%
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner	Poly	31%
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Poly	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$455.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Dawn Bulls in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Dawn Bulls. This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Nemiga Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be resc

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Dawn Bulls in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Dawn Bulls.

This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be resc

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Dawn Bulls in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Dawn Bulls.

This market will resolve to "Dawn Bul"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $456
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nemiga Gaming: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [Dawn Bulls: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $213
  DATA: [Nemiga Gaming: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [Dawn Bulls: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Nemiga Gaming: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [Dawn Bulls: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $189
  DATA: [Dawn Bulls: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Nemiga Gaming: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Volume$455.71

Markets20

20 of 20

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Dawn Bulls each de

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will re

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Oct 13, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

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Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Markets (20)

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

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Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

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