Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Name: Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
End: 2026-10-13T01:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$961.50

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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Vol

$961.50

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $961.50

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $961.50

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

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Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Poly	78%
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner	Poly	70%
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner	Poly	69%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	55%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	23%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$961.50

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Kalmychata in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Kalmychata. This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against Dawn Bulls. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Kalmychata in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Kalmychata.

This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kalmychata win the match against Dawn Bulls.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Kalmychata in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win Game 1 against Kalmychata.

This market will resolve to "Kalmychata" if Kal"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $962
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Dawn Bulls: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [Kalmychata: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Dawn Bulls: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [Kalmychata: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $962
  DATA: [Dawn Bulls: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [Kalmychata: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Dawn Bulls: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Kalmychata: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Volume$961.50

Markets20

20 of 20

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will re

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dawn Bulls and Kalmychata each destr

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market

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Oct 13, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mxyyl4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B"></iframe>

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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Markets (20)

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

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Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Kalmychata (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

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