Name: FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
End: 2026-04-19T14:30:00.000Z

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FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?	Poly	47%
Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?	Poly	30%
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?	Poly	23%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 19, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 19, 2026
If FC Arouca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $21
* **Total Liquidity:** $242.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

3d 6h remaining

Apr 19, 2026 2:30 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora

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Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora

Markets (3)

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?

Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?

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Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

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FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19?

Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?

Will FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-19?

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