Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aurora Gaming vs. 9z

Total Volume

$215.97

Events

Markets

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Aurora Gaming vs. 9z

Vol

$215.97

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $215.97

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $215.97

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Aurora Gaming wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Aurora Gaming wins	Kalshi	74%
9z wins	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$215.97

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Aurora Gaming vs. 9z (Oct 14) If X wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will res

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aurora Gaming vs. 9z
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Aurora Gaming vs. 9z (Oct 14)

If X wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will res

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Aurora Gaming wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gamin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $216
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Aurora Gaming wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. 9z wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aurora Gaming vs. 9z

Volume$215.97

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Aurora Gaming wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aurora Gaming wins

If Aurora Gaming wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gamin

KALSHI

9z wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

9z wins

If 9z wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS

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50¢

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Aurora Gaming wins

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Aurora Gaming vs. 9z

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Aurora Gaming wins

Aurora Gaming wins

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Aurora Gaming vs. 9z

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