GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

Name: Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
End: 2027-02-12T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$43.18K

Events

Markets

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Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

Vol

$43.18K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $43.18K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $43.18K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	Poly	59%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Poly	42%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$43.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 12, 2027 (161 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).

The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $43.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.90)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $12.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy