Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: Teams to be Top 3 in the Week 6 AP Poll

Name: NCAA Football: Teams to be Top 3 in the Week 6 AP Poll
End: 2026-10-12T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$78.40

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NCAA Football: Teams to be Top 3 in the Week 6 AP Poll

Vol

$78.40

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $78.40

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $78.40

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

40 markets tracked

Will Texas be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(40)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Texas be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Georgia be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Notre Dame be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Miami (FL) be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Ohio St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Indiana be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Alabama be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Florida be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Ole Miss be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will BYU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will LSU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Texas Tech be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Iowa be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Oregon be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Mississippi St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Tennessee be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will USC be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Oklahoma St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Houston be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will SMU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Boise St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will UCLA be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Kentucky be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Missouri be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Arizona be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Auburn be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Baylor be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will California be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Georgia Tech be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Kansas St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Louisville be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Michigan be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Navy be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will TCU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Tulane be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Virginia be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Vanderbilt be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Utah be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Arizona St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%
Will Florida St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$78.40

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked within the top 3 (positions 1 through 3, inclusive) of the Week 6 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "Week 6 AP poll" refers to the AP Top 25 poll released in Week 6 of the 2026 regular season, expected on October 11, 2026. The preseason poll does not count. A team ranked exactly 3th counts as "Yes"; a team ranked 4th or lower, receiving only "also rece

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: Teams to be Top 3 in the Week 6 AP Poll
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 12, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked within the top 3 (positions 1 through 3, inclusive) of the Week 6 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "Week 6 AP poll" refers to the AP Top 25 poll released in Week 6 of the 2026 regular season, expected on October 11, 2026. The preseason poll does not count.

A team ranked exactly 3th counts as "Yes"; a team ranked 4th or lower, receiving only "also rece

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked within the top 3 (positions 1 through 3, inclusive) of the Week 6 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

The "Week 6 AP poll" refers to the AP Top 25 poll released "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $78
* **Total Liquidity:** $64
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Texas be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Georgia be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Notre Dame be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Miami (FL) be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ohio St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Indiana be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alabama be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Florida be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ole Miss be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will BYU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will LSU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Texas Tech be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Utah be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Iowa be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Oregon be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Mississippi St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tennessee be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will USC be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Oklahoma St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Houston be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will SMU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Boise St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will UCLA be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Kentucky be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Missouri be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Arizona be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Arizona St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Auburn be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Baylor be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will California be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Florida St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Georgia Tech be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Kansas St. be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Louisville be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Michigan be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Navy be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will TCU be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Tulane be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Virginia be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Vanderbilt be ranked top 3 on the Week 6 AP Poll?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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