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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

How long will ICEMAN be?

Name: How long will ICEMAN be?
End: 2026-05-15T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$256.38

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How long will ICEMAN be?

Vol

$256.38

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $256.38

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $256.38

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will 'ICEMAN' be between 80 and 90 minutes long?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 80 and 90 minutes long?	Poly	51%
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 70 and 80 minutes long?	Poly	46%
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 50 and 60 minutes long?	Poly	44%
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 60 and 70 minutes long?	Poly	43%
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 30 and 40 minutes long?	Poly	43%
Will 'ICEMAN' be between 40 and 50 minutes long?	Poly	41%
Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?	Poly	38%
Will 'ICEMAN' be more than 90 minutes long?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$256.38

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardles

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How long will ICEMAN be?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 15, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. 

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. 

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardles

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. 

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. 

Officially released means t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $256
* **Total Liquidity:** $242
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 37.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 30 and 40 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 40 and 50 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 50 and 60 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 60 and 70 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will 'ICEMAN' be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will 'ICEMAN' be more than 90 minutes long?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $34
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture