Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

Total Volume

$23.29K

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Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

Vol

$23.29K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $23.29K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.29K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Proposition 136 pass?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Proposition 136 pass?	Kalshi	82%
Will Initiative #85 pass?	Kalshi	74%
Will Initiative #108 pass?	Kalshi	74%
Will Amendment 85 pass?	Kalshi	72%
Will Amendment 84 pass?	Kalshi	68%
Will Proposition 137 pass?	Kalshi	66%
Will Amendment 83 pass?	Kalshi	63%
Will Initiative #109 pass?	Kalshi	62%
Will Initiative #110 pass?	Kalshi	61%
Will Amendment 86 pass?	Kalshi	60%
Will Proposition NN pass?	Kalshi	54%
Will Initiative #177 pass?	Kalshi	49%
Will Initiative #95 pass?	Kalshi	44%
Will Amendment 87 pass?	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$23.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Colorado If Proposition X passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Colorado

If Proposition X passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Proposition 137 passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Proposition 137 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Proposition 136 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $530
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Amendment 87 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amendment 86 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Amendment 85 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amendment 84 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Amendment 83 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $37
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Proposition NN pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Initiative #95 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Initiative #85 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Initiative #177 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Initiative #110 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $420
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Initiative #109 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $295
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Initiative #108 pass?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2027): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

Volume$23.29K

Markets14

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KALSHI

Will Proposition 136 pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Proposition 136 pass?

If Proposition 136 passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Initiative #85 pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Initiative #85 pass?

If Proposition 132 (Initiative #85) passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if th

KALSHI

Will Initiative #108 pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Initiative #108 pass?

If Proposition 133 (Initiative #108) passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if t

KALSHI

Will Amendment 85 pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Amendment 85 pass?

If Amendment 85 passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Amendment 84 pass?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Amendment 84 pass?

If Amendment 84 passes in Colorado, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

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Will Proposition 136 pass?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

Markets (14)

Will Proposition 136 pass?

Will Proposition 136 pass?

Will Initiative #85 pass?

Will Initiative #85 pass?

Will Initiative #108 pass?

Will Initiative #108 pass?

Will Amendment 85 pass?

Will Amendment 85 pass?

Will Amendment 84 pass?

Will Amendment 84 pass?

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Will Proposition 136 pass?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?

Will Proposition 136 pass?

Will Proposition 136 pass?

Will Initiative #85 pass?

Will Initiative #85 pass?

Will Initiative #108 pass?

Will Initiative #108 pass?

Will Amendment 85 pass?

Will Amendment 85 pass?

Will Amendment 84 pass?

Will Amendment 84 pass?

Related News & Context

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