Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Nevada visitor volume in 2026

Total Volume

$60.77K

Events

Markets

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Nevada visitor volume in 2026

Vol

$60.77K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $60.77K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $60.77K

100%

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8 markets tracked

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?	Kalshi	96%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?	Kalshi	93%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?	Kalshi	80%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?	Kalshi	49%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?	Kalshi	12%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 52 million?	Kalshi	7%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 53 million?	Kalshi	5%
Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 54 million?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$60.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nevada visitor volume in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 

54 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $60.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 54 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 53 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 52 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $8.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $10.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 7, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Nevada visitor volume in 2026

Volume$60.77K

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 47 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear

KALSHI

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 48 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear

KALSHI

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 49 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear

KALSHI

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 50 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear

KALSHI

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

If Travel Nevada reports that Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for calendar year 2026 is above 51 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the statewide Visitor Volume for January–December 2026 published in Travel Nevada’s Q4 2026 Discover the Facts report. Ear

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Nevada visitor volume in 2026

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Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

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Events (1)

Nevada visitor volume in 2026

Markets (8)

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

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Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Nevada visitor volume in 2026

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 47 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 48 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 49 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 50 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

Will Nevada’s statewide visitor volume for 2026 be above 51 million?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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