Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K 17.6K contracts
1
21
Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K 17.6K contracts
1
21
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4 at 64%.
Kalshi
- Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 464%
- Football Manager 2749.5%
- Phantom Blade Zero14%
- AION 23.5%
- Warframe1.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 17.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
21
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 27 - Nov 3, 2026 If X Y is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Oct 27 - Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with STEAM. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event has occurred.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract asks whether a named product will rank first on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers list, which covers the top 100 products by revenue. The event window is October 20 to October 27, 2026, and the rule states that a market "resolves to Yes" if the named product is "ranked #1" on that list [1]. The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event has occurred" [1]. Each market in this snapshot asks about a different product, so the contracts are separate questions with separate prices.
The contract listing shows an end date of October 27, 2027, but the source describes the event window as ending October 27, 2026 and lists the end time as "not supplied" [1]. Readers should treat the 2027 field as a timestamp that the evidence does not explain, and should not assume it is the date the weekly ranking closes.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T05:48:46.813Z [1]. These are historical values, and they may not reflect current prices. Each price is a single snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
In this sample, Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 has a Yes price of 0.97 and a No price of 0.03. Counter-Strike 2 has a Yes price of 0.01 and a No price of 0.99. Most other included products, including Battlefield 6, ARC Raiders, and Steam Deck, have a Yes price of 0.015 [1]. Because these prices refer to different products, they should be read individually. They should not be averaged or compared as if they were one field.
The sample includes 12 of 21 markets from this provider event, and the source marks it as a partial sample [1]. Those 12 markets were selected by Yes price, then volume. The omitted nine markets are not shown, so the snapshot does not tell us their prices or rankings. Volume is also not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not say how many people hold each position. It also does not indicate the final weekly ranking, whether any early closure has occurred, or how the listed 2027 end date relates to the event window. Readers should check the current provider record before relying on any price.
References
- Kalshi: Steam: Weekly Top Seller . Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract asks whether a specific title will rank first on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers list for the period October 20 to October 27, 2026. The list covers the top 100 products by revenue. Under the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named title holds the number one position on that list for that period [1]. The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, or endorsed by Steam, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The event is structured as a set of separate yes or no markets, one for each title. Each market asks about a different game, so a title's price in one market reflects only that title's contract. The provider also states that the event will close and expire early if the ranking outcome has already occurred [1]. The saved provider record lists the event as active, but it does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The market records show an end date of October 27, 2027, but that field is a provider data value and is not described in the rules as the date the ranking is determined. It should not be read as a scheduled announcement or as the time the list is published. The prices attached to each market are provider snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. Trading volume is not a measure of liquidity or of how many people took part.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, narrow result: which product holds the first position on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers list, ranked by revenue, for the October 20 to October 27, 2026 period [1]. Because the list is ranked by revenue rather than by unit count or player numbers, the outcome depends on that measure as defined by the list. The contract rules say the market resolves to Yes only if the named title is ranked number one for that period [1]. Each included market can be read as a view on one title's position, but the saved sample covers only part of the event. The sample includes 12 of 21 markets, so it does not represent the full set of titles in the event [1]. The included prices are ordered by Yes price, so the markets left out of the sample should not be assumed to have lower prices.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a market to resolve to Yes?
A market resolves to Yes if the named title is ranked number one on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers, Top 100 products by revenue list, for October 20 to October 27, 2026 [1].
Is the price of a market the same as the chance that the title wins?
No. The prices are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Is Kalshi connected to Steam?
The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Steam [1].
Why does the sample not show every title in the event?
The saved event includes 21 markets, and the sample includes 12 of them. The sample was selected by ordering markets by Yes price, so it is partial and should not be treated as the full field [1].
Could the event close before October 27, 2026?
Yes, according to the rules. The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event has occurred [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
