Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Name: Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.23K

Events

Markets

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?	Poly	62%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$6.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution sour

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (44 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution sour

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

43d 6h remaining

May 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

62¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/nZQ0Ud" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?"></iframe>

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)