Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Name: Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
End: 2026-10-20T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.78

Events

Markets

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Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Vol

$11.78

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.78

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.78

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia	Poly	53%
Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia	Kalshi	—
Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia	Kalshi	—
Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia	Kalshi	—
Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 21.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 22.5	Kalshi	—
Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 23.5	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Darja Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Mathilde Lollia (+1.5)	Kalshi	—
Set Handicap: Mathilde Lollia (-1.5) vs Darja Semenistaja (+1.5)	Kalshi	—
Game Spread: Darja Semenistaja (-5.5) vs Mathilde Lollia (+5.5)	Kalshi	—

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$11.78

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 day

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mathilde Lollia.

This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Darja Semenistaja.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 day

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mathilde Lollia.

This market will resolve to 'Mathilde L"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18
* **Total Liquidity:** $85.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Darja Semenistaja: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [Mathilde Lollia: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Darja Semenistaja: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [Mathilde Lollia: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Darja Semenistaja: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [Mathilde Lollia: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Semenistaja vs. Lollia: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Darja Semenistaja (-1.5) vs Mathilde Lollia (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Darja Semenistaja: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [Mathilde Lollia: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Mathilde Lollia (-1.5) vs Darja Semenistaja (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mathilde Lollia: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [Darja Semenistaja: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Spread: Darja Semenistaja (-5.5) vs Mathilde Lollia (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Darja Semenistaja: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Mathilde Lollia: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Volume$11.78

Markets17

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POLYMARKET

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

POLYMARKET

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes N/ANo N/A

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under"

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Oct 20, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/n_6vo5" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia"></iframe>

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Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

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Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

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Events (1)

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Markets (17)

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

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Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Completed Match: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Lisbon: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 1 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Set 2 Winner: Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Darja Semenistaja vs. Mathilde Lollia: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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