Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Name: LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
End: 2026-10-12T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$143.01K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Vol

$143.01K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $143.01K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $143.01K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

47 markets tracked

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(47)

Market	Platform	Price
Games Total: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	70%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Poly	68%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	62%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Poly	62%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	61%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Poly	61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?	Poly	58%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	53%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 4?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	32%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?	Poly	32%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$143.01K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 12, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $143.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $568.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $888
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $239
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $124.5K
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Games Total: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Over: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Games Total: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Over: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $675
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. First Blood in Game 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Over: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [BNK FEARX: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $35
  DATA: [Over: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Volume$143.01K

Markets47

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both BNK FEARX and JD Gaming each destroy at least one enemy in

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke

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Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

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Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/n_zPH9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs"></iframe>

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LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Markets (47)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Games Total: Over/Under 3.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

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