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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

FIFA World Cup Group H Winner

Name: FIFA World Cup Group H Winner
End: 2026-06-27T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$169.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

FIFA World Cup Group H Winner

Vol

$169.39K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $169.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $169.39K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	80%
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	16%
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	2%
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$169.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sour

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FIFA World Cup Group H Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 27, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution sour

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $169.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $86.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.95)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $56.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 27, 2026): Vol $92.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports