Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
End: 2026-10-19T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$191.11

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Vol

$191.11

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $191.11

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $191.11

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Poly	65%
Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Poly	57%
Game Spread: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)	Poly	56%
Set Handicap: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)	Poly	55%
Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Poly	54%
Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Poly	50%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	50%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	47%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	43%
Set Handicap: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)	Poly	40%
Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	39%
Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$191.11

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Carlos Maria Zarate.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Gonzalo Villanueva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Carlos Maria Zarate.

This market will reso"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $191
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Gonzalo Villanueva: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Maria Zarate: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Gonzalo Villanueva: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Maria Zarate: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Gonzalo Villanueva: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Maria Zarate: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Villanueva vs. Zarate: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Gonzalo Villanueva: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Maria Zarate: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Carlos Maria Zarate: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [Gonzalo Villanueva: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Spread: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Gonzalo Villanueva: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Carlos Maria Zarate: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Volume$191.11

Markets17

17 of 17

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POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

POLYMARKET

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/njjN6q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate"></iframe>

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Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

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Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Markets (17)

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

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Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Completed Match: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Santa Cruz 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 1 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Gonzalo Villanueva vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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