Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Total Volume

$11.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Vol

$11.39K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.39K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.39K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	53%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	16%
Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	9%
Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	8%
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	8%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will Whalefall win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will The Mandalorian and Grogu win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will The Drama win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	2%
Will Tie win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$11.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2027 If X has won Best Music, Original Score, at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If X has won Best Music, Original Score, at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Whalefall win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tie win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $19
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Social Reckoning win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $810
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will The Mandalorian and Grogu win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will The Drama win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $569
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Cry to Heaven win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $188
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Volume$11.39K

Markets13

13 of 13

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KALSHI

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

If The Odyssey has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any assoc

KALSHI

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any

KALSHI

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

If The Black Ball has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any as

KALSHI

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

If Disclosure Day has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any as

KALSHI

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

If Project Hail Mary has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any

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Average Yes Price

8¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/nqaWsA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)"></iframe>

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Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Markets (13)

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

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Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Odyssey win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Disclosure Day win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

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