Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:27 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin above ___ on October 13, 9AM ET?

Name: Bitcoin above ___ on October 13, 9AM ET?
End: 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$110.02

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on October 13, 9AM ET?

Vol

$110.02

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $110.02

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $110.02

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	99%
Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	99%
Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	98%
Bitcoin above 82,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	98%
Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	97%
Bitcoin above 82,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	72%
Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	70%
Bitcoin above 84,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	50%
Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	50%
Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	47%
Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	39%
Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	22%
Bitcoin above 83,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	4%
Bitcoin above 84,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	2%
Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	2%
Bitcoin above 85,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	1%
Bitcoin above 85,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	1%
Bitcoin above 84,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	1%
Bitcoin above 85,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	1%
Bitcoin above 85,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$110.02

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin above ___ on October 13, 9AM ET?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $110
* **Total Liquidity:** $413
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bitcoin above 85,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bitcoin above 85,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bitcoin above 85,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Bitcoin above 85,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Bitcoin above 84,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Bitcoin above 84,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Bitcoin above 84,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Bitcoin above 83,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Bitcoin above 82,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Bitcoin above 82,200 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.1% (0.0%)]

### 18. Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.6% (0.0%)]

### 19. Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 13, 9AM ET?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto