Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

Total Volume

$1.80K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

Vol

$1.80K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.80K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.80K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	27%
Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	20%
Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	12%
Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	12%
Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	9%
Will Viola Cheptoo win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	8%
Will Weini Kelati win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	5%
Will Steph Bruce win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Rie Kawauchi win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Roberta Groner win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Paige Wood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Phily Bowden win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mica Rivera Wood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Megan O'Neil win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Monica Hebner win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mercy Chelangat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Maddie Block win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Lauren Hagans win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Keelah Barger win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Julia Paternain win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jessica McClain win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Giovanna Epis win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Fiona O'Keeffe win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Fabienne Königstein win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Erika Kemp win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Cailie Hughes win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Carrie Ellwood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Brooke Starn win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Amanda Vestri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Alosha Southern win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Annie Frisbie win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$1.80K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

New York City Women's - Nov 1, 2026 If X wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** New York City Women's - Nov 1, 2026

If X wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Weini Kelati wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Weini Kelati win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Viola Cheptoo win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $509
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Steph Bruce win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Rie Kawauchi win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Roberta Groner win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Paige Wood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Phily Bowden win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Mica Rivera Wood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Megan O'Neil win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Monica Hebner win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Mercy Chelangat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Maddie Block win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lauren Hagans win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Keelah Barger win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Julia Paternain win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jessica McClain win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $657
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Giovanna Epis win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Fiona O'Keeffe win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fabienne Königstein win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Erika Kemp win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Cailie Hughes win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Carrie Ellwood win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Brooke Starn win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Amanda Vestri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Alosha Southern win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Annie Frisbie win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $610
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

Volume$1.80K

Markets31

31 of 31

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KALSHI

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

If Hellen Obiri wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th

KALSHI

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

If Sifan Hassan wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th

KALSHI

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

If Sheila Chepkirui wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names ar

KALSHI

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

If Gotytom Gebreslase wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

If Edna Kiplagat wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Women's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

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5¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oCQR6h" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner"></iframe>

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New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

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Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

Markets (31)

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

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Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Hellen Obiri win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sifan Hassan win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Sheila Chepkirui win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Gotytom Gebreslase win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

Will Edna Kiplagat win the New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

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