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NASA Artemis II | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

NASA Artemis II

Name: NASA Artemis II
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$763.36K

Events

Markets

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NASA Artemis II

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Polymarket

markets · $763.36K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $763.36K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?	Poly	94%
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	Poly	93%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 8, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NASA Artemis II
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a market on the outcome of the Artemis II mission.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nas"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $306.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.5K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 35.98)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $176.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $130.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

94¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oGKBWM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NASA Artemis II"></iframe>

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NASA Artemis II

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Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

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Events (1)

NASA Artemis II

Markets (2)

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

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NASA Artemis II

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

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