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Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

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Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

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Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	93%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	93%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	86%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	74%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	59%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	40%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?	Kalshi	20%

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93%

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Byron Donalds If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Byron Donalds

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

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KALSHI

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 65% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

KALSHI

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Byron Donalds in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oKDmkU" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent"></iframe>

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Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

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Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

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Events (1)

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

Markets (7)

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

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Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

Will Byron Donalds receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

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