Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?

Name: Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
End: 2026-01-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.56K

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Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?

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Polymarket

markets · $24.56K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.56K

100%

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1 market tracked

Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

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Top Probability

$24.56K

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official curfew is officially announced in any part of the cities of Minneapolis, Minnesota or Saint Paul, Minnesota between market creation and January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any curfew which is officially announced will qualify regardless of if/when it goes into effect. To qualify, the curfew must be officially declared by the City of Minneapolis, the City of St. Paul, Hennepin County, Ramsey County, or a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official curfew is officially announced in any part of the cities of Minneapolis, Minnesota or Saint Paul, Minnesota between market creation and January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any curfew which is officially announced will qualify regardless of if/when it goes into effect.  

To qualify, the curfew must be officially declared by the City of Minneapolis, the City of St. Paul, Hennepin County, Ramsey County, or a 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official curfew is officially announced in any part of the cities of Minneapolis, Minnesota or Saint Paul, Minnesota between market creation and January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any curfew which is officially announc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.64)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $24.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

4¢

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Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)