Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Name: Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$66.96K

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Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Vol

$66.96K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $66.96K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $66.96K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?	Poly	62%
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	Poly	47%
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	Poly	31%
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	Poly	16%
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?	Poly	11%
Republican Senate odds hit 55% by October 31?	Poly	2%
Republican Senate odds hit 60% by October 31?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$66.96K

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Win

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Win

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $62.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $141.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.44)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Republican Senate odds hit 55% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Republican Senate odds hit 60% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $16.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Volume$66.96K

Markets7

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POLYMARKET

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 30% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Other

POLYMARKET

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 25% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Other

POLYMARKET

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

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Nov 01, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oULbs6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?"></iframe>

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Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

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Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Markets (7)

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

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Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?

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