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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Name: Bank of Korea decision in May?
End: 2026-05-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$46.16K

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Markets

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Bank of Korea decision in May?

Vol

$46.16K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $46.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $46.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	Poly	93%
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?	Poly	5%
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$46.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pag

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Korea decision in May?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pag

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-sett"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $22.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $28.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $9.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 28, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld