GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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Kalshi

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19 markets tracked

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	82%
Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	59%
Will Ariana Grande have above 350000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	41%
Will Ariana Grande have above 400000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will Ariana Grande have above 450000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Ariana Grande have above 500000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Ariana Grande have above 600000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ariana Grande have above 800000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ariana Grande have above 700000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ariana Grande have above 650000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ariana Grande have above 550000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ariana Grande have above 950000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ariana Grande have above 900000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ariana Grande have above 750000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ariana Grande have above 850000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ariana Grande have above 1000000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

petal | July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026 If petal by Ariana Grande has above X Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** petal | July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026

If petal by Ariana Grande has above X Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If petal by Ariana Grande has above 950K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ariana Grande have above 950000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ariana Grande have above 900000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ariana Grande have above 850000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ariana Grande have above 800000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ariana Grande have above 750000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ariana Grande have above 700000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ariana Grande have above 650000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ariana Grande have above 600000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ariana Grande have above 550000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ariana Grande have above 500000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ariana Grande have above 450000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ariana Grande have above 400000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Ariana Grande have above 350000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Ariana Grande have above 1000000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Volume$0.00

Markets19

19 of 19

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KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 100K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -

KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -

KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 200K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -

KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 250K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -

KALSHI

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 300K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 -

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27¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oX-7HY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units"></iframe>

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petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

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Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Markets (19)

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 250000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

Will Ariana Grande have above 300000 Album Equivalent Units on Luminate during July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026?

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