Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Chaves vs Os Marialvas

Total Volume

$0.00

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Chaves vs Os Marialvas

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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3 markets tracked

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Chaves wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Chaves wins	Kalshi	49%
Os Marialvas wins	Kalshi	37%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

CHA vs MAR (Oct 16) If X wins the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the ma

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Chaves vs Os Marialvas
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** CHA vs MAR (Oct 16)

If X wins the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the ma

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Chav"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Os Marialvas wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Chaves wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Chaves vs Os Marialvas

Volume$0.00

Markets3

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KALSHI

Chaves wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Chaves wins

If Chaves wins the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Chaves vs Os

KALSHI

Os Marialvas wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Os Marialvas wins

If Os Marialvas wins the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Chaves

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Chaves vs Os Marialvas professional Taca de Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Chav

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Average Yes Price

39¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oZu9U_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Chaves vs Os Marialvas"></iframe>

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Chaves vs Os Marialvas

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Chaves wins

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Events (1)

Chaves vs Os Marialvas

Markets (3)

Chaves wins

Chaves wins

Os Marialvas wins

Os Marialvas wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Chaves wins

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Chaves vs Os Marialvas

Chaves wins

Chaves wins

Os Marialvas wins

Os Marialvas wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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