GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for August

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US gasoline CPI for August

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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11 markets tracked

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?	Kalshi	79%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?	Kalshi	61%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?	Kalshi	59%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?	Kalshi	55%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?	Kalshi	53%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 390?	Kalshi	50%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 380?	Kalshi	50%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 370?	Kalshi	50%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 360?	Kalshi	50%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 350?	Kalshi	50%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 400?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

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$0.00

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About This Event

August 2026 If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gasoline CPI for August
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** August 2026

If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 400, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 390?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 380?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 370?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 360?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 350?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for August

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 300, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 320, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 310, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 330, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 is above 340, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is sea

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/obyb4-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gasoline CPI for August"></iframe>

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US gasoline CPI for August

US gasoline CPI for August

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Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

US gasoline CPI for August

Markets (11)

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gasoline CPI for August

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 300?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 320?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 310?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 330?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for August 2026 be above 340?

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