Next President of Vietnam | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next President of Vietnam

Name: Next President of Vietnam
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.27M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next President of Vietnam

Vol

$31.27M

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.27M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.27M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	97%
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	2%
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	1%
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	0%
Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	0%
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	0%
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$31.27M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual mu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, May 23, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next President of Vietnam
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 25, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual mu

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31.27M
* **Total Liquidity:** $462.6K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 67.61)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $2.53M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $2.61M
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $4.05M
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $2.55M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $1.13M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $15.56M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 25, 2026): Vol $2.84M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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Next President of Vietnam